Stephen
Kershnar
Are Doctors Overpaid?
Dunkirk-Fredonia Observer
May
30, 2017
With the ongoing death spiral of
Obamacare, there is discussion of how to shift the insurance costs for people
with pre-existing conditions onto others, contain drug costs, and force
insurance companies to let parents keep their adult children on their insurance.
There is surprisingly little discussion of physician compensation. This is
surprising given that, as Catherine Rampell writing in The New York Times points out, such compensation constitutes 20% of
total healthcare costs.
Physicians are well compensated
(compensation includes salary, bonus, and profit-sharing). According to a 2016 Medscape
study, male primary care physicians, on average make $225,000 and specialists
$324,000. I focus on males because 25% of female physicians only work part-time.
Using 2009 figures, over their lifetime, primary care physicians (men and
women) earn $6.5 million and specialists earn $10 million (this is after and
deductible business expenses and taxes, except income taxes,). Writing in The Atlantic, James Hamblin notes that,
on average, a number of specialties make $400,000 or more (cardiologist,
dermatologist, radiation oncologist, and various types of surgeons:
radiologist, neurosurgeon, orthopedic surgeon, plastic surgeon, thoracic
surgeon, and vascular surgeon).
Writing in Forbes, Chris Conover points out that physician compensation is 78%
higher than that of other industrialized countries, although this might be more
like 35% for specialists once we control for relevant factors.
These high salaries are the result
of restricted supply of doctors rather than the free market. Princeton
economist Uwe Reinhardt raises the idea that many more people want to become
doctors than are admitted into medical schools. This is done by limiting
medical school places and residency slots. The result is to limit the number of
doctors and thereby raise their prices.
Writing
in Reason, Shikha Dalmia argues that
the American Medical Association convinced Congress to limit the number of
residencies, thereby restricting the number of physicians. She further notes that even foreign doctors with years of
experience in their home country have to redo their residencies. Again, this
limits the number of doctors. These things have produced an acute doctor
shortage in the U.S.
The return on investment in medical
training is high. Physicians invest a lot of money in order to be able to
practice. They go into pay a lot for and go into debt to pay for medical school
(on average, $170-$200,000 debt), forego income while in medical school, and
get reduced pay during residency. Still, one study showed that only four
professions had a higher return on investment than medical specialists (for
example, pharmacists and chemical/petroleum/nuclear engineers) and primary care
physicians did nearly as well. Another study by Berkeley economist Nicholas
Roth found a high rate of return on medical training, well above that of stocks
and treasury bonds.
One objection raised by the father
of modern economics, Adam Smith, is that doctors are very important to our
health, a crucial aspect of how well our lives go. We trust them with our
lives. To ensure that only the most talented and trustworthy people go into medicine,
doctors need to be highly compensated.
The problem with this objection is
that even if ratcheting up their compensation and prestige produces better
physicians, doing so by limiting their numbers results in fewer physicians and
less access to them. Fewer people get healthcare because of the increased cost
caused by a shortage of doctors. Increasingly, care is given by healthcare
workers who do most, but not all, of what a physician does at lower salaries:
nurse-practitioners and physician’s assistants. It is not clear that the
American people are better off with fewer but better physicians.
Writing in USA Today, Kevin Pho points that the talent pool that produces
doctors also produces other high earners, such as business executives, lawyers,
and corporate executives. A second objection is that some of these other
professions get more money (or, at least, get similar money with far less
investment in education and training) and it is necessary to pay doctors well
in order to attract top talent away from these other fields and into medicine.
The difficulty with this objection
is that it is unclear whether it is efficient to have the best and brightest go
into medicine rather than being investors or business executives. This is not
the sort of thing that can be determined by legislators, bureaucrats, or
gatekeeper to the medical field. Rather it is best determined by the market.
The market can compare the cost and benefit of funneling the best and brightest
in one field rather than another by seeing the profits generated by paying for
the very best as opposed to those who are merely very good. The idea that physicians
need to be as good as investors needs support, not emotion.
In
addition, people who do most of what doctors do (nurse-practitioners and
physician’s assistants) and physicians who lack a MD (specifically, DOs) are
increasingly common in medicine. The former group have less training than MDs
and the latter have noticeably lower medical board scores. This suggest that
the market does not think all medical personnel need such talent.
A third objection is that physicians
are among the best and brightest in our country and so should receive a lot of
money for what they do. They have high IQs, go through demanding and lengthy
training, pay astronomical sums to medical schools, and are among the most
trusted professions (ranking only below nurses and pharmacists). They’re
impressive.
This objection is bizarre. Just
because physicians are talented, sacrifice a lot, and are trusted does not mean
that they should make so much more money than others, especially when this
amount would not be paid out by the free market. Farmers keep us alive, loggers
and fishermen have dangerous jobs, physicists are incredibly bright, and
investors (for example, hedge fund managers) direct large amounts of resources
toward their most efficient use. It doesn’t follow from these facts that they
should get rich. The same is true for physicians.
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