28 June 2012

Obama's Amnesty: Poor Choices / Mediocre Immigrant Pool


Stephen Kershnar
Temporary Amnesty: Neither Wise Nor Compassionate
Dunkirk-Fredonia Observer
June 26, 2012

            On January 15, 2012, President Obama passed a temporary amnesty for younger illegal aliens. One hopes that in the upcoming election his opponent will make it, along with Obama’s push for more race preferences, an albatross around Obama’s neck.
            Obama’s policy is to allow illegal aliens who meet certain conditions to get a two-year deferral from deportation and apply for a work permit. Specifically, his policy is that the nation’s immigration laws shall not be enforced against illegal aliens who, among other conditions, came to the U.S. under the age of 16, have continuously resided in the U.S. for at least five years, are currently in school or have a general education development certificate (GED) or graduated from high school or worked in the military, have not been convicted of a felony, serious misdemeanor, or multiple misdemeanors, and are younger than 31. According to CNN, the administration claims that it will potentially amnesty 800,000 people. Others claim that it could affect far more.    
            A little context is helpful here. The Pew Hispanic Center estimates that there are 11.5 million illegal aliens (2011 number). This population exploded by 27% between 2000 and 2009.
This population tends to suck up welfare like a vacuum. Steven Camarota writing for the Center for Immigration Studies notes that in 2009, households headed by immigrants (legal and illegal) with children were 46% more likely to use welfare than native households with children (57% versus 39%). Immigrant households with children are also increasingly on welfare usage (18% increase since 2001).
Some immigrant groups are more likely to be on welfare than others. According to Camarota, 75% of Mexican and Guatemalan immigrant households with children are on welfare. In contrast, similar households from immigrants elsewhere were less likely to be on it. Consider these immigrant households: United Kingdom (7%), India (19%), Canada (23%), and Korea (25%). This matters because the Pew Hispanic Center reports that 58% of illegal aliens are from Mexico.
Welfare usage is more frequent for households headed by an immigrant who did not graduate from high school (80% are on welfare). The high rate on welfare is not explained by an unwillingness to work. In 2009, 95% of immigrant households had at least one worker. Nor is the high use affected much by how long the immigrants have been in America. 55% of households headed by immigrants who arrived before 2000 are on welfare, whereas 60% who arrived after were on it. The welfare programs include supplemental social security income (SSI), temporary assistance to needy children (TANF), Women, Infants, and Children food program (WIC), free/reduced school lunch, food stamps, Medicaid (health insurance for the poor), public housing, and rent subsidies.
In education, we see a similar pattern. Hispanic immigrants as a group do not do well at school. According to the Richard Fry of the Pew Hispanic Center, more than half of Hispanic immigrants do not have a high school diploma. According to USA Today, 13% of Hispanics have a college degree versus 30% for the overall population. Educational underperformance is a problem for the Hispanic non-immigrant population as well as the immigrant one.
Similar problems occur with incarceration and out-of-wedlock births. According to 2007 Bureau of Justice statistics, Hispanics (both immigrants and non-immigrants) were 31% of federal inmates and 19% of state inmates. It should be noted that as Ron Unz points out, the population’s crime numbers are heavily affected by demographics, so there is a controversy as to whether this population is more involved in crime. Still, those numbers are troubling. In a 2006 article in City Journal, Heather MacDonald points out that Hispanics are far more likely to have out-of-wedlock children than whites or Asians (46% versus 24% and 15%). She argues that this is a problem as children born out of wedlock are more likely to be juvenile delinquents, use welfare, fail in school, and get pregnant as teenagers.
Obama’s temporary amnesty has been criticized for a number of reasons. First, the policy is unconstitutional as the President cannot change the country’s immigration laws without Congressional approval. Second, the policy will encourage more illegal aliens to come across the country. Third, it will harm unskilled American workers as we legalize an ocean of competitors. Fourth, this program will be quickly converted to one in which the same illegal aliens will be given citizenship.   
The more important criticisms are that this policy harms current citizens and is not especially compassionate. Given the above numbers, it is hard to see how incentivizing this population to stay will benefit American citizens. Worse, the opportunity costs here are enormous. In letting in this group rather than taking in the most talented immigrants from across the world, the country passes up on the incredibly talented entrepreneurs, scientists, professionals, and others who would greatly add to Americans’ lives. For example, Silicon Valley is a major engine of the American high-tech world and it is awash in highly skilled Indian immigrants. The Ivy League is packed with students whose ancestry is from East Asia (China, Japan, and Korea). If we must take in 800,000 immigrants, and the number is likely much higher, why not take the cream of the crop from these countries and elsewhere. There are many talented Hispanics from Central and South America. It makes no sense to welcome those who snuck in rather than those who are especially bright or accomplished. 
Nor is this policy particularly compassionate. Rather than direct American resources toward people who are starving, homeless, or plagued by violence, Obama has chosen to target American resources toward a group that stands a decent chance of being able to make a living and succeed elsewhere. As far as countries go, Mexico is not that poor (its per capital income is the 63rd in the world according to an IMF 2010-2011 ranking) and these moderately talented illegal aliens are not an especially vulnerable population. If we must take in 800,000 immigrants on the basis of compassion, why not take in the poorest or most vulnerable (for example, Sudanese refugees or victims of misogynistic Middle Eastern policies). Worse, the compassion comes at the expense of the most vulnerable Americans (unskilled and uneducated workers). As usual, the cost of compassion is dump on the already overburdened American taxpayer without any attempt to lessen the burden elsewhere.
The U.S. is like an elite college (for example, Cornell University) with large numbers of students trying to get in. Rather than taking in the best and the brightest, thereby benefitting other students and alumni, or the poorest and most desperate, thereby helping the worst off, it has chosen to admit mediocre students. This is neither wise nor compassionate. It’s just dumb.

14 June 2012

Right to Privacy: Fourth Amendment

Stephen Kershnar
United States v. Jones (2012): The Fourth Amendment is Still Alive
Dunkirk-Fredonia Observer
June 12, 2012


A Supreme Court decision, U.S. v. Jones, 565 U.S. ____ (2012), in January 2012 signals the upcoming war on privacy. The Obama Administration in effect claimed that it could put a tracking device on any American’s car and track it indefinitely and without a warrant. Thankfully, the Supreme Court unanimously rejected this idea.

The defendant, Antoine Jones, owned a nightclub in the District of Columbia. The FBI and DC police suspected him of drug trafficking. They initially got a warrant to track his Jeep Grand Cherokee, but the warrant ran out. After it ran out, the police agencies put a GPS tracking device on the bottom of his car and via satellite tracked its movement for the next 28 days. The government used the GPS information to connect Jones to a stash house that stored $850,000 in cash and 97 kilograms of cocaine. The trial court sentenced him to life imprisonment. The federal appellate court in the District of Columbia reversed, finding that the conviction rested on a warrantless search using the GPS device and that such a search violated the Fourth Amendment.

The Fourth Amendment says, “The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrant shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.”

The Supreme Court held that the government’s attachment of the GPS device to the vehicle and its use of the device to monitor the vehicle’s movements, constituted a search under the Fourth Amendment. It reasoned that a car was an “effect” and the government’s physical intrusion onto it was therefore a search. It noted that at the time the Amendment was adopted, intruding on such physical property would have been considered a search.

Justice Scalia writing for the majority of the Court (along with Justices Thomas, Roberts, Kennedy, and Sotomayor) argued that for the purposes of the Fourth Amendment, there were two different cases in which government information-gathering is a search that requires a warrant. One case occurs when the government physically intrudes onto someone’s body or property. A second case occurs when the government information-gathering violates a person’s reasonable expectation of privacy. This second line follows a famous case, Katz v. United States, 389 U.S. 347 (1967). In that case, the FBI put an eavesdropping device outside a public phone booth. The government claimed that it didn’t violate the Fourth Amendment because it neither intruded on Katz’s property nor physically intruded into the phone booth. In Katz, the Court rejected that argument. In Jones, Scalia concluded that the GPS-tracking was a search according to the physical-intrusion test and therefore requires a warrant.

Samuel Alito wrote a minority concurrence (along with Justices Kagan, Breyer, and Ginsburg) that argued that the Court should address the reasonable expectation of privacy in this case. He further opined that even long-term monitoring without a warrant that violated people’s reasonable expectations of privacy might be acceptable if it involved an extraordinary offense.

The physical-property-intrusion test is a good one because it tracks the original understanding of those who ratified the Amendment and sets out a bright line that the government cannot cross. In contrast, the reasonable-expectation test has severe problems. First, it is not clear how you determine reasonable expectation. Polling results are notoriously subject to how questions are framed. Nor is it clear why our Constitutional rights should depend on the latest polls from people who are neither informed about the issue nor about much else regarding police searches. Nor should the reasonable expectation of privacy depend on the intuitions of elderly Justices who have little connection to the ordinary lives of Americans, let alone poor minorities and others who are subject to frequent police searches.

Second, Jacob Sullum of Reason magazine points out, the physical-intrusion test will become increasingly irrelevant. In the future government tracking will use surveillance technologies that do not involve physical trespass. Examples of such technologies include vast camera networks, satellite tracking of GPS and cell phone signals, surveillance by drone aircraft, and so on. In the future, Justice Sotomayor points out, the federal government could track everyone’s exact whereabouts from their cell phone because it emits tell-tale signals. As Justice Kagan points out, in London, just about every place a person goes is monitored by a camera network.

Less you think this is something found in London and not here, in 2010, SUNY-Fredonia Vice President for Student Affairs David Herman stated that SUNY-Fredonia has nearly 100 cameras on campus and that the cameras cover probably 80% of the campus. He pushed (the Dunkirk Observer says “joked”) the village of Fredonia to buy and use cameras to monitor people downtown and on Temple Street. Apparently, Fredonia students and residents need to be watched very closely.

State and local governments are beginning to buy and use drones to track people’s movements from the air as part of the liberty-crushing drug war among other things. Also, as James Bamford of Wired magazine points out that the National Security Administration was sifting through domestic and foreign cell-phone calls and emails without a warrant and without physically intruding onto anyone’s property.

Third, as Dahlia Lithwick of Slate points out, the more frequently the state invades people’s things and information, the more it becomes commonplace. The more it becomes commonplace, the more it seems reasonable to the populace. The more it seems reasonable, the more it passes the reasonable-expectation-of-privacy test. Thus, this test rewards the government for aggressively pushing boundaries.

One can understand Obama Administrations frustration regarding the Jones decision. To its eternal discredit, in the past the Supreme Court has said that the government need not get a warrant to conduct random roadblocks for drunk driving or to routinely search through people’s garbage, open fields, and car cabins, despite the fact that these searches obviously violate the Fourth Amendment. The fact that the American people and courts have laid down as the government stripped away search-and-seizure rights has ominous implications for the future.

The Court arguments indicate that the loathsome Obama Administration believes that the Constitution allows the government to search the movement of every car in this country for 24 hours a day 7 days a week so long as the car is not inside a house. Obama’s Justice Departments believes such searches are morally permissible not just when pursuing terrorists, but also when pursuing drug crimes and probably other victimless activities such as prostitution and gambling. A bipartisan bill to prohibit the government collecting GPS information without a warrant was introduced in the Senate in June 2011, but the Obama administration appears to oppose it and the Senate has yet to vote on it.

If government search-freaks like the Obama administration are not smacked down, Constitution will be further shredded and big brother will eventually monitor our whereabouts, communications, and perhaps even thoughts.

30 May 2012

Veterans: The Draft and Gratitude

Stephen Kershnar
Memorial Day: Conscription and Disgust
Dunkirk-Fredonia Observer
May 29, 2012



As I watched the Memorial Day services, I wondered how many of the people being honored were drafted into service. This then led me to consider how a free country could stomach such immoral-and-illegal drafts and then celebrate the liberty-trampling Presidents who put them in place.

The wartime draft has been apart of many of America’s wars. It was in place during the Civil War, World War I, World War II, the Korean War, and Vietnam War. It speaks volumes about U.S. leadership that at least three of the wars were discretionary with a distant relation to American interests. It is no coincidence that the recent wartime drafts were put in place or maintained by leftist Presidents (Wilson, Roosevelt, Truman, Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon) who had little respect for the Constitution and historical American liberties. On a side note, Nixon’s aggressive expansion of the government into new areas and wage-and-price controls qualify him as a leftist. At least two (for example, Wilson and Roosevelt) ran on anti-war platforms and then took actions that they knew broke the spirit of their promises and made it much more likely that the U.S. would join the wars. That we should celebrate these men on Presidents’ Day is a sad statement about how we can paper over liars and serfdom.

During Vietnam, the threat of being drafted was used to coerce young men into volunteering for the military. On one defense-recruiting study found that in 1970, 50% of the volunteers did so to avoid being drafted. On another estimate of the Vietnam War, the possibility of avoiding combat led as many as 4 out of 11 million eligible men to enlist. A previous head of the Selective Service System (Gen. Hershey) estimated that during the Cold War, for every man drafted three or four were scared into volunteering. During World War II, more than 11 million men were inducted.

It is a little hard to see why men drafted into serving the military or forced to do so by the threat of a draft should be celebrated on Veterans Day or Memorial Day. Consider someone who is physically forced to give up a kidney for some randomly selected citizen. We might owe them serious compensation, a sincere apology, and a promise not to do this sort of thing again, but it is a little hard to see why we (or even the kidney recipient) should be grateful. After all, the kidney donor didn’t choose to do anything for the recipient, rather it was done to him. To the extent that the draft forces people to fight against their will, and perhaps the draft didn’t always do so, draftees and other coerced soldiers are similar to the kidney donor. The fact that the kidney donor might later be proud of what he did and that others want to cheer him on still does not establish that citizens should be grateful to him. We normally think that an individual who voluntary gave his time or money is owed gratitude by a beneficiary, but people forced by guns or jail didn’t voluntarily give to others.

The draft is morally repugnant. First, it tramples on liberty. Forcing men to serve in the military is like forcing them to serve in some planter’s cotton field. It is form of forced labor, although it is orders of magnitude less harsh and wrong than the chattel slavery that characterized America’s past.

Second, the draft is inefficient. The U.S. can always fill its recruiting ranks by paying market wages to induce people to join. A draft does not make the military cost less; it just transfers the cost from taxpayers, who would normally have to pay market wages, to the young drafted men who have to pay the cost of soldiering without being paid a fair wage. This is no different than the government confiscating lands for public schools without payment rather than buying out the owners. When people do not bear the costs of their decisions, they are likely to act in an inefficient manner.

The various deferments and exemptions (for example, for marriage and family, War industry work, and teaching) further direct people into areas that they prefer not to be in and does not put them to the most efficient use (as determined by the free market).

Given that a draft was in place, the one draft mechanism that was efficient was allowing Civil War draftees to buy out of fighting by paying for a substitute or commutation. Purchasing a substitute benefits both the draftee and his willing substitute. Of course, this sensible policy was discontinued as part of the usual envy of the rich.

Third, the draft is riddled with unfairness as the government has to decide who are expendable. For example, during the Kennedy administration, married men with children were put at the bottom of the call-up list and married men with wives but no children second to the bottom. The administration apparently thought single men more expendable. The same sense of expendability led local draft boards during World War I to more often conscript poor men. During that war, some religions were allowed conscientious objectors (for example, Amish and Quakers), others were not. Non-religious objectors were also not recognized. Apparently, the poor and people of some religions were more expendable.

Fourth, wartime drafts, especially ones with the many deferments and exemptions for the upper classes, allow politicians to shift the costs of the war toward smaller and more vulnerable subclasses: young men and the poor. This makes discretionary wars more likely. Presidents such as Wilson, Truman, and Johnson might have been less likely to plunge the U.S. into war if they had to jack up taxes to pay for their international adventures.

One argument given for the draft by people like Vietnam General William Westmoreland is that without it the U.S. would have an army of mercenaries. Nobel Prize winning economist Milton Friedman responded that it was better to have a mercenary army than a slave force. He further responded that if being paid makes someone a mercenary, then our doctors, lawyers, and professors are mercenaries.

A second argument for the draft given by Representative Charles Rangel (D-NY and corrupt) is that a draft should be reinstated because it would spread military service equally between the rich and poor. It is a little hard to see why this would benefit the poor when it involves paying poor drafted men less to do a job than what they find acceptable. Also, many opportunities are not equally distributed in our society between the rich and poor (for example, line jobs in factories) and this is not a bad thing. It is troubling that Congressmen in addition to Rangel (for example, John Conyers D-MI and John Lewis D-GA) should be willing to sponsor the draft on the basis of such a half-baked argument.

Wartime drafts are an unappreciated evil in the U.S.’s history. It should blacken the reputation of the Presidents who imposed them and undermine our gratitude toward any veterans who were forced to fight against their will.